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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Douglas Silva de Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1475

Douglas Silva de AndradevsMarlon VeraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · Saturday, February 3, 2018Belem, Para, Brazil

Official fight result

Douglas Silva de Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsMarlon Vera: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Douglas Silva de Andrade at +165 American odds

+$165 profit

$265 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Red Corner

Marlon Vera

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1484

Elo

1475

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Marlon VeraL4 streak

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25

vs David Martinez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricMarlon Vera

3.54

Strikes / min

4.18

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

5.34

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.47

71%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55evenly matched on net striking-1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Douglas Silva de AndradeMarlon Vera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.5|Blue -9.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetMarlon Vera

By target zone

31% acc · 57%

Head

20% acc · 39%

74% acc · 24%

Body

76% acc · 31%

90% acc · 20%

Leg

92% acc · 31%

By position

41% acc · 95%

Distance

38% acc · 99%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

even

Marlon Vera rounds

Round 1Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control0:22

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:12

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:01

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

97 / 232

Sig Strikes

72 / 191

42%

Sig Str %

37%

99 / 234

Total Strikes

75 / 195

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marlon Vera	18 / 48	20 / 50	0 / 0
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	27 / 56	28 / 57	1 / 2
2	Marlon Vera	23 / 68	24 / 69	0 / 0
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	30 / 78	30 / 78	0 / 1
3	Marlon Vera	31 / 75	31 / 76	0 / 0
3	Douglas Silva de Andrade	40 / 98	41 / 99	0 / 0

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26