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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Douglas Silva de Andrade won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1458

Douglas Silva de AndradevsCody GibsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · Sunday, February 22, 2015Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil

Official fight result

Douglas Silva de Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsCody Gibson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Cody Gibson wins(53.9%)

Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Gibson at -245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Red Corner

Cody Gibson

Blue Corner

+225

(31%)

Vegas Odds

-245

(71%)

1484

Elo

1458

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

172.72 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Cody GibsonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24

vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Mar 25

KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25

SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricCody Gibson

3.54

Strikes / min

3.63

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

2.12

71%

Takedown defense

69%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Douglas Silva de AndradeCody Gibson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Cody Gibson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.2|Blue -26.2

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetCody Gibson

By target zone

16% acc · 41%

Head

19% acc · 77%

50% acc · 13%

Body

44% acc · 13%

82% acc · 46%

Leg

75% acc · 10%

By position

29% acc · 92%

Distance

20% acc · 90%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

75% acc · 8%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

even

Cody Gibson rounds

Round 1Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:05

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:43

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:28

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 131

Sig Strikes

30 / 137

31%

Sig Str %

21.7%

45 / 137

Total Strikes

30 / 137

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 5

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:16

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cody Gibson	10 / 49	10 / 49	0 / 3
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	13 / 45	13 / 45	0 / 0
2	Cody Gibson	9 / 37	9 / 37	0 / 0
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	12 / 30	15 / 33	0 / 0
3	Cody Gibson	11 / 51	11 / 51	0 / 2
3	Douglas Silva de Andrade	14 / 56	17 / 59	0 / 1

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11