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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dooho Choi won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1530

Elo1359

Dooho ChoivsSam SiciliaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · Saturday, November 28, 2015Seoul, South Korea

Official fight result

Dooho Choi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:33

Model Prediction: Sam Sicilia wins(57.5%)

Actual result: Dooho Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Sicilia at +210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dooho Choi enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sam Sicilia is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Dooho Choi has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Sam Sicilia has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dooho Choi

Red Corner

Sam Sicilia

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1530

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dooho ChoiW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Jan 18

KOvs Charles Jourdain · Dec 19

KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 24

KOvs Nate Landwehr · Dec 24

KOvs Daniel Santos · May 26

latest

Sam SiciliaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 14

KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15

vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16

vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dooho ChoiMetricSam Sicilia

4.67

Strikes / min

2.46

4.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

56%

Strike defense

59%

1.43

TDs / 15 min

1.45

47%

Takedown defense

70%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.65Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dooho ChoiSam Sicilia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dooho Choi(9 fights)Sam Sicilia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +170.3|Blue -170.3

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +235.0|Blue -235.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dooho ChoiTargetSam Sicilia

By target zone

68% acc · 94%

Head

38% acc · 75%

100% acc · 6%

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

65% acc · 72%

Distance

42% acc · 100%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

80% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dooho Choi rounds

even

Sam Sicilia rounds

Round 1Dooho Choi edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 26

Sig Strikes

8 / 19

69%

Sig Str %

42%

18 / 26

Total Strikes

8 / 19

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Sicilia	8 / 19	8 / 19	0 / 1	0
1	Dooho Choi	18 / 26	18 / 26	0 / 0	0

Dooho Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Sam Sicilia

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12