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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dooho Choi won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1530
Dooho Choi
Elo1498
Bill Algeo

Dooho ChoivsBill AlgeoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Saturday, July 20, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dooho Choi won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:38

Style matchupDooho Choi: Pressure fightervsBill Algeo: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Bill Algeo wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Dooho Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bill Algeo at -230 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dooho Choi
Red Corner
VS
Bill Algeo
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
1530
Elo
1498
35
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dooho ChoiW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Cub Swanson · Dec 16
L
KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Jan 18
L
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Dec 19
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Dec 24
W
KOvs Daniel Santos · May 26
latest
Bill Algeo
oldest →
W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Jul 22
L
vs Andre Fili · Sep 22
W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Apr 23
W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23
L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dooho ChoiMetricBill Algeo
4.67
Strikes / min
5.88
4.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.38
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.43
TDs / 15 min
1.03
47%
Takedown defense
55%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.65evenly matched on net striking+1.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1520Strikes4.4 vs 5.9Takedowns0.8 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.10Form-0.9 vs -0.0
Dooho ChoiBill Algeo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Dooho Choi(9 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.0|Blue -32.0
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +1561.0|Blue -1561.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dooho ChoiTargetBill Algeo

By target zone

15
54% acc · 71%
Head
11
31% acc · 65%
3
100% acc · 14%
Body
3
60% acc · 18%
3
75% acc · 14%
Leg
3
38% acc · 18%

By position

17
57% acc · 81%
Distance
14
31% acc · 82%
3
75% acc · 14%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 12%
1
100% acc · 5%
Ground
1
50% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dooho Choi rounds
0
even
1
Bill Algeo rounds
Round 1Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control1:02
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:02Control
Round 2Dooho Choi edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:31
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
21 / 35
Sig Strikes
17 / 49
60.5%
Sig Str %
39.5%
32 / 47
Total Strikes
38 / 74
2 / 3
TDs
2 / 3
75%
TD %
66%
3
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
1:33
Ctrl Time
3:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bill Algeo6 / 1223 / 332 / 30
1Dooho Choi5 / 813 / 171 / 13
2Bill Algeo11 / 3715 / 410 / 00
2Dooho Choi16 / 2719 / 301 / 20

Dooho Choi

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8

Bill Algeo

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10