Middleweight

3 Rounds

Donte Johnson won · S-DEC R3

Elo1535

Elo1490

Donte JohnsonvsCody BrundageUFC Prediction Result

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Saturday, March 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Donte Johnson won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Donte Johnson wins(85.7%)

Actual result: Donte Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Donte Johnson at -900 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Donte Johnson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Donte Johnson (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Donte Johnson

Red Corner

Cody Brundage

Blue Corner

-900

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+610

(14%)

1535

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Donte Johnson

oldest →

SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Nov 25

latest

Cody Brundage

oldest →

KOvs Julian Marquez · Mar 25

vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25

vs Eric McConico · Aug 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26

KOvs Andre Petroski · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Donte JohnsonMetricCody Brundage

3.11

Strikes / min

2.26

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

61%

Strike defense

50%

2.00

TDs / 15 min

1.88

75%

Takedown defense

68%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap-0.76

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Donte JohnsonCody Brundage

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Donte Johnson(2 fights)Cody Brundage(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.1|Blue -45.1

Recent Form

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Donte JohnsonTargetCody Brundage

By target zone

38% acc · 78%

Head

27% acc · 61%

50% acc · 9%

Body

67% acc · 6%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 32%

By position

38% acc · 78%

Distance

38% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

71% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Donte Johnson rounds

even

Cody Brundage rounds

Round 1Cody Brundage edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:21Control

Round 2Donte Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control3:01

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:45Control

Round 3Donte Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:31

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 106

Sig Strikes

31 / 83

42%

Sig Str %

35.7%

84 / 146

Total Strikes

34 / 88

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 7

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:32

Ctrl Time

4:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cody Brundage	5 / 20	6 / 23	1 / 2
1	Donte Johnson	10 / 25	29 / 44	0 / 0
2	Cody Brundage	6 / 14	8 / 16	1 / 2
2	Donte Johnson	13 / 30	28 / 46	0 / 0
3	Cody Brundage	20 / 49	20 / 49	0 / 3
3	Donte Johnson	22 / 51	27 / 56	0 / 0

Donte Johnson

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights2

Cody Brundage

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14