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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dongi Yang won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1474

Dongi YangvsJake CollierUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · Saturday, November 28, 2015Seoul, South Korea

Official fight result

Dongi Yang won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:50

Style matchupDongi Yang: Well-roundedvsJake Collier: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dongi Yang wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Dongi Yang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dongi Yang at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dongi Yang has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Dongi Yang (53.5%).
Jake Collier has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dongi Yang

Red Corner

Jake Collier

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1490

Elo

1474

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dongi YangL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Camozzi · Oct 10

KOvs Rob Kimmons · Mar 11

vs Court McGee · Sep 11

vs Brad Tavares · May 12

latest

Jake CollierL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22

vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22

KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22

vs Martin Buday · Apr 23

vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dongi YangMetricJake Collier

3.55

Strikes / min

5.80

3.21

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

63%

Strike defense

50%

1.70

TDs / 15 min

0.71

61%

Takedown defense

67%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.34evenly matched on net striking+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dongi YangJake Collier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dongi Yang(5 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.7|Blue -16.7

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +1117.0|Blue -1117.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dongi YangTargetJake Collier

By target zone

64% acc · 79%

Head

36% acc · 36%

100% acc · 17%

Body

69% acc · 41%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

83% acc · 23%

By position

68% acc · 52%

Distance

53% acc · 91%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

67% acc · 9%

67% acc · 41%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dongi Yang rounds

even

Jake Collier rounds

Round 1Jake Collier edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:43

Knockdowns0

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:46Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Dongi Yang edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control1:14

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 42

Sig Strikes

22 / 41

68.5%

Sig Str %

52%

54 / 76

Total Strikes

29 / 48

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

10%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:57

Ctrl Time

1:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jake Collier	20 / 37	27 / 44	0 / 1
1	Dongi Yang	18 / 26	27 / 36	1 / 5
2	Jake Collier	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0
2	Dongi Yang	11 / 16	27 / 40	0 / 1

Dongi Yang

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5

Jake Collier

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights14