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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Dong Hyun Kim won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim
Elo1361

Dong Hyun KimvsTarec SaffiedineUFC Prediction Result

UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · Friday, December 30, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Kim won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDong Hyun Kim: WrestlervsTarec Saffiedine: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Kim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Tarec Saffiedine (54.1%).
  • Dong Hyun Kim has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dong Hyun Kim
Red Corner
VS
Tarec Saffiedine
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1491
Elo
1361
44
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'2"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
W
KOvs John Hathaway · Mar 14
L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest
Tarec SaffiedineL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Hyun Gyu Lim · Jan 14
L
KOvs Rory MacDonald · Oct 14
W
vs Jake Ellenberger · Jan 16
L
vs Rick Story · May 16
L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dong Hyun KimMetricTarec Saffiedine
2.12
Strikes / min
4.05
1.89
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
58%
Strike defense
62%
2.93
TDs / 15 min
0.52
71%
Takedown defense
84%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1592 vs 1509Strikes23.1 vs 62.0Takedowns2.1 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.25Form0.7 vs -0.1
Dong Hyun KimTarec Saffiedine

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Tarec Saffiedine(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +130.1|Blue -130.1
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red -2.4|Blue +2.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +183.0|Blue -183.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dong Hyun KimTargetTarec Saffiedine

By target zone

28
30% acc · 78%
Head
38
43% acc · 73%
7
58% acc · 19%
Body
11
79% acc · 21%
1
100% acc · 3%
Leg
3
100% acc · 6%

By position

27
29% acc · 75%
Distance
35
43% acc · 67%
9
69% acc · 25%
Clinch
17
71% acc · 33%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
1
even
1
Tarec Saffiedine rounds
Round 1Tarec Saffiedine edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:12
22Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control1:30
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control2:37
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
36 / 107
Sig Strikes
52 / 105
35.7%
Sig Str %
48.7%
64 / 138
Total Strikes
68 / 122
3 / 8
TDs
2 / 6
33%
TD %
16.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
5:19
Ctrl Time
1:25

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tarec Saffiedine22 / 3622 / 362 / 40
1Dong Hyun Kim11 / 4521 / 551 / 30
2Tarec Saffiedine17 / 3825 / 460 / 10
2Dong Hyun Kim15 / 4127 / 540 / 20
3Tarec Saffiedine13 / 3121 / 400 / 10
3Dong Hyun Kim10 / 2116 / 292 / 30

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Tarec Saffiedine

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6