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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dong Hyun Kim won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1377

Dong Hyun KimvsSiyar BahadurzadaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · Saturday, March 2, 2013Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Kim won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDong Hyun Kim: WrestlervsSiyar Bahadurzada: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Kim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Siyar Bahadurzada is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Dong Hyun Kim has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dong Hyun Kim

Red Corner

Siyar Bahadurzada

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1491

Elo

1377

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dong Hyun Kim

oldest →

KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14

SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15

KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15

vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16

vs Colby Covington · Jun 17

latest

Siyar BahadurzadaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16

KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17

KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18

vs Curtis Millender · Dec 18

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dong Hyun KimMetricSiyar Bahadurzada

2.12

Strikes / min

2.91

1.89

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

58%

Strike defense

49%

2.93

TDs / 15 min

1.32

71%

Takedown defense

62%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dong Hyun KimSiyar Bahadurzada

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +114.2|Blue -114.2

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -210.0|Blue +210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dong Hyun KimTargetSiyar Bahadurzada

By target zone

31% acc · 70%

Head

20% acc · 80%

100% acc · 26%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 4%

Leg

50% acc · 20%

By position

50% acc · 26%

Distance

19% acc · 80%

Clinch

37% acc · 74%

Ground

33% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dong Hyun Kim rounds

even

Siyar Bahadurzada rounds

Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control2:42

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Dong Hyun Kim edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control3:56

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dong Hyun Kim edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control4:35

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 58

Sig Strikes

5 / 24

46.7%

Sig Str %

24.3%

182 / 221

Total Strikes

25 / 45

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

61%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

11:13

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Siyar Bahadurzada	1 / 11	1 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Dong Hyun Kim	6 / 10	72 / 76	1 / 3	0
2	Siyar Bahadurzada	1 / 7	14 / 20	0 / 0	0
2	Dong Hyun Kim	6 / 12	62 / 71	1 / 2	0
3	Siyar Bahadurzada	3 / 6	10 / 14	0 / 0	0
3	Dong Hyun Kim	11 / 36	48 / 74	1 / 1	1

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Siyar Bahadurzada

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8