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Welterweight
5 Rounds
Dong Hyun Kim won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim
Elo1490

Dong Hyun KimvsJohn HathawayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · Saturday, March 1, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Kim won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:02

Style matchupDong Hyun Kim: WrestlervsJohn Hathaway: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Kim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • John Hathaway enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dong Hyun Kim
Red Corner
VS
John Hathaway
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1491
Elo
1490
44
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest
John HathawayW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Diego Sanchez · May 10
L
vs Mike Pyle · Oct 10
W
vs Kris McCray · Mar 11
W
vs Pascal Krauss · May 12
W
vs John Maguire · Sep 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dong Hyun KimMetricJohn Hathaway
2.12
Strikes / min
3.40
1.89
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
58%
Strike defense
62%
2.93
TDs / 15 min
2.61
71%
Takedown defense
60%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.23Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+1.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1567 vs 1554Strikes25.3 vs 47.9Takedowns2.6 vs 2.5Sub Atts0.58 vs 0.88Form0.8 vs 0.9
Dong Hyun KimJohn Hathaway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)John Hathaway(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -375.0|Blue +375.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dong Hyun KimTargetJohn Hathaway

By target zone

22
29% acc · 81%
Head
13
19% acc · 48%
5
100% acc · 19%
Body
10
45% acc · 37%
0
Leg
4
67% acc · 15%

By position

13
30% acc · 48%
Distance
16
22% acc · 59%
6
40% acc · 22%
Clinch
9
53% acc · 33%
8
35% acc · 30%
Ground
2
33% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
0
even
1
John Hathaway rounds
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:43
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2John Hathaway edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:29
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
27 / 81
Sig Strikes
27 / 97
34%
Sig Str %
25%
42 / 96
Total Strikes
52 / 127
1 / 3
TDs
1 / 6
33%
TD %
16.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:13
Ctrl Time
3:44

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1John Hathaway10 / 4020 / 531 / 20
1Dong Hyun Kim19 / 5521 / 570 / 00
2John Hathaway15 / 4630 / 630 / 20
2Dong Hyun Kim6 / 2119 / 341 / 30
3John Hathaway2 / 112 / 110 / 20
3Dong Hyun Kim2 / 52 / 50 / 00

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

John Hathaway

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6