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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim
Elo1402
Demian Maia

Dong Hyun KimvsDemian MaiaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · Saturday, July 7, 2012Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Demian Maia won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:47

Style matchupDong Hyun Kim: WrestlervsDemian Maia: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at -143 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dong Hyun Kim has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dong Hyun Kim
Red Corner
VS
Demian Maia
Blue Corner
-143
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+133
(43%)
1491
Elo
1402
44
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19
W
DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19
W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19
L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dong Hyun KimMetricDemian Maia
2.12
Strikes / min
1.80
1.89
Strikes absorbed / min
2.07
58%
Strike defense
63%
2.93
TDs / 15 min
2.49
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1537 vs 1503Strikes30.0 vs 21.1Takedowns3.0 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.50 vs 1.00Form0.5 vs -0.1
Dong Hyun KimDemian Maia

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)Demian Maia(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +88.4|Blue -88.4
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dong Hyun KimTargetDemian Maia

By target zone

7
100% acc · 88%
Head
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
1
100% acc · 13%
Leg
0

By position

1
100% acc · 13%
Distance
0
4
100% acc · 50%
Clinch
0
3
100% acc · 38%
Ground
1
100% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
0
even
0
Demian Maia rounds
Round 1Dong Hyun Kim edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
8 / 8
Sig Strikes
1 / 1
100%
Sig Str %
100%
8 / 8
Total Strikes
3 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 3
—
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Demian Maia1 / 13 / 31 / 30
1Dong Hyun Kim8 / 88 / 80 / 00

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Demian Maia

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26