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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Dominique Steele won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1361

Elo1379

Dominique SteelevsDong Hyun MaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · Saturday, November 28, 2015Seoul, South Korea

Official fight result

Dominique Steele won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:27

Model Prediction: Dominique Steele wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Dominique Steele wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dominique Steele at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dominique Steele enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dominique Steele is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dong Hyun Ma has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Dominique Steele has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Dominique Steele has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dominique Steele

Red Corner

Dong Hyun Ma

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1361

Elo

1379

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dominique SteeleL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Zak Cummings · Jul 15

vs Danny Roberts · Apr 16

vs Court McGee · Aug 16

vs Luke Jumeau · Jun 17

latest

Dong Hyun MaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17

vs Damien Brown · Feb 18

KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19

KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19

DECvs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dominique SteeleMetricDong Hyun Ma

2.32

Strikes / min

2.84

2.42

Strikes absorbed / min

4.10

50%

Strike defense

54%

2.95

TDs / 15 min

1.27

76%

Takedown defense

33%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dominique SteeleDong Hyun Ma

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dominique Steele(5 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.4|Blue +18.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dominique SteeleTargetDong Hyun Ma

By target zone

60% acc · 97%

Head

31% acc · 42%

33% acc · 3%

Body

67% acc · 53%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

35% acc · 17%

Distance

42% acc · 53%

64% acc · 25%

Clinch

50% acc · 47%

70% acc · 58%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dominique Steele rounds

even

Dong Hyun Ma rounds

Round 1Dominique Steele edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:59

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:53Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Dominique Steele edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control4:10

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3Dominique Steele edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:03

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 61

Sig Strikes

19 / 42

59.3%

Sig Str %

60.7%

84 / 114

Total Strikes

52 / 79

4 / 4

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:12

Ctrl Time

1:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dong Hyun Ma	15 / 33	39 / 60	0 / 1
1	Dominique Steele	13 / 29	29 / 47	1 / 1
2	Dong Hyun Ma	3 / 8	12 / 18	0 / 2
2	Dominique Steele	20 / 27	52 / 62	2 / 2
3	Dong Hyun Ma	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0
3	Dominique Steele	3 / 5	3 / 5	1 / 1

Dominique Steele

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5

Dong Hyun Ma

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8