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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Dominick Reyes won · Decision R3
Elo1522
Dominick Reyes
Elo1495

Dominick ReyesvsJohnny WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Dominick Reyes won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDominick Reyes: StrikervsJohnny Walker: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Dominick Reyes wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Dominick Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Johnny Walker has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Dominick Reyes has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • Dominick Reyes has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Johnny Walker has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dominick Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Walker
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1522
Elo
1495
36
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dominick Reyes
oldest →
L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22
W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24
W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25
L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25
latest
Johnny Walker
oldest →
W
KOvs Paul Craig · Jan 23
W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24
W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dominick ReyesMetricJohnny Walker
4.99
Strikes / min
3.90
3.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
49%
Strike defense
46%
0.25
TDs / 15 min
0.36
82%
Takedown defense
57%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.59evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Johnny Walker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +27.4|Blue -27.4
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Dominick Reyes

StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights13

Johnny Walker

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach82.0"
Fights14