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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Dominick Cruz won · U-DEC R5

Elo1495

Elo1492

Dominick CruzvsUrijah FaberUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dominick Cruz won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupDominick Cruz: WrestlervsUrijah Faber: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Urijah Faber wins(77.4%)

Actual result: Dominick Cruz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Urijah Faber at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dominick Cruz has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dominick Cruz

Red Corner

Urijah Faber

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+170

(37%)

1495

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dominick Cruz

oldest →

vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16

KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20

vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21

vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21

KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22

latest

Urijah Faber

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16

vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16

vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16

KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19

KOvs Peter Yan · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dominick CruzMetricUrijah Faber

3.91

Strikes / min

2.65

2.61

Strikes absorbed / min

2.59

70%

Strike defense

64%

2.82

TDs / 15 min

1.54

83%

Takedown defense

58%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.30Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dominick CruzUrijah Faber

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dominick Cruz(10 fights)Urijah Faber(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.5|Blue -3.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dominick CruzTargetUrijah Faber

By target zone

29% acc · 56%

Head

24% acc · 62%

56% acc · 30%

Body

46% acc · 24%

68% acc · 14%

Leg

54% acc · 14%

By position

36% acc · 91%

Distance

25% acc · 72%

62% acc · 9%

Clinch

56% acc · 28%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dominick Cruz rounds

even

Urijah Faber rounds

Round 1Dominick Cruz edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 2Dominick Cruz edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:15

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dominick Cruz edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:21

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 4Dominick Cruz edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:06

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 5Dominick Cruz edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control1:36

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 238

Sig Strikes

50 / 170

37.2%

Sig Str %

29%

97 / 246

Total Strikes

58 / 181

4 / 13

TDs

1 / 5

35.5%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Urijah Faber	10 / 33	10 / 33	0 / 1
1	Dominick Cruz	17 / 51	18 / 52	0 / 0
2	Urijah Faber	5 / 33	7 / 36	0 / 2
2	Dominick Cruz	21 / 57	23 / 60	1 / 1
3	Urijah Faber	9 / 40	10 / 41	1 / 1
3	Dominick Cruz	16 / 46	17 / 47	0 / 2
4	Dominick Cruz	24 / 53	25 / 54	0 / 3
4	Urijah Faber	18 / 42	19 / 43	0 / 1
5	Urijah Faber	8 / 22	12 / 28	0 / 0
5	Dominick Cruz	12 / 31	14 / 33	3 / 7

Dominick Cruz

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10

Urijah Faber

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18