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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Felipe Colares won · S-DEC R3

Elo1406

Elo1425

Domingo PilartevsFelipe ColaresUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Saturday, July 20, 2019San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Felipe Colares won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Domingo Pilarte wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Felipe Colares wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Domingo Pilarte at -400 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Domingo Pilarte (53.5%).
Domingo Pilarte has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Domingo Pilarte

Red Corner

Felipe Colares

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1406

Elo

1425

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Domingo PilarteL2 streak

oldest →

vs Journey Newson · Feb 20

vs Brian Kelleher · Aug 21

latest

Felipe ColaresL2 streak

oldest →

vs Geraldo de Freitas · Feb 19

vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20

vs Luke Sanders · May 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 21

KOvs Chase Hooper · May 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Domingo PilarteMetricFelipe Colares

1.31

Strikes / min

2.17

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

4.65

40%

Strike defense

36%

1.20

TDs / 15 min

1.88

54%

Takedown defense

43%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.65evenly matched on net striking-2.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Domingo PilarteFelipe Colares

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Domingo Pilarte(3 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -19.5|Blue +19.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Domingo PilarteTargetFelipe Colares

By target zone

42% acc · 45%

Head

48% acc · 65%

67% acc · 36%

Body

67% acc · 26%

67% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

36% acc · 45%

Distance

64% acc · 39%

86% acc · 55%

Clinch

50% acc · 30%

Ground

50% acc · 30%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Domingo Pilarte rounds

even

Felipe Colares rounds

Round 1Felipe Colares edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:02

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:08Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control1:47

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:29Control

Round 3Domingo Pilarte edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control4:21

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 21

Sig Strikes

23 / 42

40%

Sig Str %

58.3%

69 / 89

Total Strikes

92 / 132

2 / 5

TDs

2 / 8

41.5%

TD %

26.5%

Sub Att

Rev

6:10

Ctrl Time

6:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Felipe Colares	14 / 22	35 / 48	1 / 3	0
1	Domingo Pilarte	4 / 8	35 / 44	0 / 0	0
2	Felipe Colares	6 / 16	15 / 25	1 / 5	0
2	Domingo Pilarte	7 / 10	24 / 28	1 / 2	1
3	Felipe Colares	3 / 4	42 / 59	0 / 0	0
3	Domingo Pilarte	0 / 3	10 / 17	1 / 3	0

Domingo Pilarte

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Felipe Colares

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6