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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Cyril Asker won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1372
Dmitrii Smoliakov
Elo1491
Cyril Asker

Dmitrii SmoliakovvsCyril AskerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · Sunday, January 15, 2017Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Cyril Asker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:41

Model Prediction: Dmitrii Smoliakov wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Cyril Asker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dmitrii Smoliakov at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Cyril Asker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dmitrii Smoliakov has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Cyril Asker threatens submissions; Dmitrii Smoliakov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Dmitrii Smoliakov has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Cyril Asker has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dmitrii Smoliakov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dmitrii Smoliakov
Red Corner
VS
Cyril Asker
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1372
Elo
1491
43
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dmitrii SmoliakovL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Luis Henrique · Jul 16
L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Apr 19
latest
Cyril Asker
oldest →
L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Apr 16
L
KOvs Walt Harris · Jun 17
W
SUBvs Hu Yaozong · Nov 17
L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dmitrii SmoliakovMetricCyril Asker
1.44
Strikes / min
3.35
3.81
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
55%
Strike defense
35%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
4.41
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.37evenly matched on net striking-2.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1486Strikes14.0 vs 13.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Dmitrii SmoliakovCyril Asker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Dmitrii Smoliakov(3 fights)Cyril Asker(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -118.6|Blue +118.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -104.0|Blue +104.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dmitrii SmoliakovTargetCyril Asker

By target zone

2
40% acc · 40%
Head
19
40% acc · 100%
3
60% acc · 60%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

5
50% acc · 100%
Distance
2
22% acc · 11%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
17
45% acc · 89%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dmitrii Smoliakov rounds
0
even
1
Cyril Asker rounds
Round 1Cyril Asker edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 10
Sig Strikes
19 / 47
50%
Sig Str %
40%
28 / 35
Total Strikes
39 / 90
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 1
0%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:23

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cyril Asker19 / 4739 / 901 / 10
1Dmitrii Smoliakov5 / 1028 / 350 / 10

Dmitrii Smoliakov

StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Cyril Asker

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5