Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jose Souza won · Decision R3

Elo1479

Elo1522

Ding MengvsJose SouzaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Jose Souza won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jose Souza wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Jose Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Ding Meng

Red Corner

Jose Souza

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1479

Elo

1522

Age

N/A

Orthodox

Stance

N/A

6'2"

Height

N/A

185.42 cm

Reach

N/A

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ding MengMetricJose Souza

3.40

Strikes / min

—

3.87

Strikes absorbed / min

—

48%

Strike defense

—

1.00

TDs / 15 min

—

Takedown defense

—

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -43.0|Blue +43.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ding MengTargetJose Souza

By target zone

18% acc · 21%

Head

45% acc · 85%

38% acc · 13%

Body

50% acc · 10%

82% acc · 67%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

43% acc · 98%

Distance

47% acc · 99%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ding Meng rounds

even

Jose Souza rounds

Round 1Ding Meng edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ding Meng edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jose Souza edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 146

Sig Strikes

72 / 153

44.3%

Sig Str %

46.7%

63 / 146

Total Strikes

72 / 153

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jose Souza	20 / 43	20 / 43	0 / 0
1	Ding Meng	24 / 40	24 / 40	0 / 0
2	Jose Souza	23 / 51	23 / 51	0 / 0
2	Ding Meng	26 / 51	26 / 51	0 / 0
3	Jose Souza	29 / 59	29 / 59	0 / 0
3	Ding Meng	13 / 55	13 / 55	0 / 0

Ding Meng

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2

Jose Souza

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1