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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Myles Jury won · U-DEC R3
Elo1493
Diego Sanchez
Elo1371
Myles Jury

Diego SanchezvsMyles JuryUFC Prediction Result

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · Saturday, March 15, 2014Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Myles Jury won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Myles Jury wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Diego Sanchez at +160 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Myles Jury has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Diego Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Myles Jury
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1493
Elo
1371
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diego Sanchez
oldest →
W
vs Craig White · Sep 18
W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19
L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19
W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20
L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20
latest
Myles JuryL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17
W
vs Rick Glenn · Dec 17
L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 18
L
vs Andre Fili · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diego SanchezMetricMyles Jury
2.69
Strikes / min
2.94
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
56%
Strike defense
66%
1.51
TDs / 15 min
2.16
46%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1572Strikes36.6 vs 23.8Takedowns1.3 vs 2.3Sub Atts0.84 vs 0.50Form-0.3 vs 1.0
Diego SanchezMyles Jury

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Myles Jury(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +121.9|Blue -121.9
Recent Form
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Diego SanchezTargetMyles Jury

By target zone

10
16% acc · 40%
Head
35
34% acc · 76%
12
57% acc · 48%
Body
3
50% acc · 7%
3
38% acc · 12%
Leg
8
89% acc · 17%

By position

21
24% acc · 84%
Distance
40
36% acc · 87%
3
100% acc · 12%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 4%
1
100% acc · 4%
Ground
4
67% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Diego Sanchez rounds
0
even
3
Myles Jury rounds
Round 1Myles Jury edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:49
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Myles Jury edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 3Myles Jury edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
25 / 93
Sig Strikes
46 / 119
26.3%
Sig Str %
38%
37 / 105
Total Strikes
54 / 129
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 3
TD %
100%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:49
Ctrl Time
3:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Myles Jury19 / 3825 / 451 / 10
1Diego Sanchez9 / 3212 / 350 / 00
2Myles Jury19 / 4420 / 451 / 10
2Diego Sanchez6 / 296 / 290 / 01
3Myles Jury8 / 379 / 391 / 10
3Diego Sanchez10 / 3219 / 410 / 01

Diego Sanchez

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights19

Myles Jury

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12