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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Diego Sanchez won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1493

Elo1485

Diego SanchezvsMickey GallUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Diego Sanchez won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:13

Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Diego Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Diego Sanchez at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mickey Gall (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Diego Sanchez

Red Corner

Mickey Gall

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1493

Elo

1485

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'10"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diego Sanchez

oldest →

KOvs Matt Brown · Nov 17

vs Craig White · Sep 18

vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19

vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20

vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20

latest

Mickey GallL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jordan Williams · Jul 21

vs Alex Morono · Dec 21

KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 22

vs Bassil Hafez · Jun 24

KOvs Ramiz Brahimaj · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diego SanchezMetricMickey Gall

2.69

Strikes / min

3.50

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

4.72

56%

Strike defense

49%

1.51

TDs / 15 min

1.15

46%

Takedown defense

37%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.33evenly matched on net striking-1.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Diego SanchezMickey Gall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Mickey Gall(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.3|Blue -7.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Diego SanchezTargetMickey Gall

By target zone

59% acc · 66%

Head

32% acc · 83%

72% acc · 23%

Body

67% acc · 9%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

67% acc · 9%

By position

25% acc · 13%

Distance

18% acc · 35%

91% acc · 18%

Clinch

64% acc · 39%

81% acc · 70%

Ground

86% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Diego Sanchez rounds

even

Mickey Gall rounds

Round 1Diego Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns3

Control3:08

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Diego Sanchez edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns1

Control2:52

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 87

Sig Strikes

23 / 65

60.5%

Sig Str %

34%

61 / 92

Total Strikes

35 / 80

4 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:00

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mickey Gall	16 / 43	28 / 58	0 / 0
1	Diego Sanchez	15 / 31	19 / 35	3 / 3
2	Mickey Gall	7 / 22	7 / 22	0 / 0
2	Diego Sanchez	41 / 56	42 / 57	1 / 1

Diego Sanchez

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights19

Mickey Gall

StanceSwitch

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13