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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Liana Jojua won · SUB R1

Elo1485

Elo1411

Diana BelbitavsLiana JojuaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Liana Jojua won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:43

Style matchupDiana Belbita: Pressure fightervsLiana Jojua: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Diana Belbita wins(68.9%)

Actual result: Liana Jojua wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Diana Belbita at -195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diana Belbita enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Liana Jojua enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Liana Jojua threatens submissions; Diana Belbita has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Diana Belbita has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Diana Belbita

Red Corner

Liana Jojua

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1485

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diana BelbitaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22

vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 23

SUBvs Molly McCann · Feb 24

SUBvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 25

latest

Liana JojuaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sarah Moras · Sep 19

KOvs Miranda Maverick · Oct 20

vs Cortney Casey · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diana BelbitaMetricLiana Jojua

6.45

Strikes / min

2.42

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

5.32

51%

Strike defense

54%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

1.71

64%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10Δ 2.80 — meaningful gap-2.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Diana BelbitaLiana Jojua

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Diana Belbita(8 fights)Liana Jojua(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +74.0|Blue -74.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -41.0|Blue +41.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Diana BelbitaTargetLiana Jojua

By target zone

50% acc · 60%

Head

50% acc · 50%

67% acc · 40%

Body

100% acc · 50%

Leg

By position

60% acc · 60%

Distance

50% acc · 50%

50% acc · 40%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Diana Belbita rounds

even

Liana Jojua rounds

Round 1Diana Belbita edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control1:34

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:52Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 9

Sig Strikes

2 / 3

55%

Sig Str %

66%

6 / 11

Total Strikes

3 / 4

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:34

Ctrl Time

0:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Liana Jojua	2 / 3	3 / 4	0 / 0	3
1	Diana Belbita	5 / 9	6 / 11	1 / 2	0

Diana Belbita

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Liana Jojua

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights4