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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Diana Belbita won · U-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1476

Diana BelbitavsHannah GoldyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, July 24, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Diana Belbita won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDiana Belbita: Pressure fightervsHannah Goldy: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Diana Belbita wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Diana Belbita wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Diana Belbita at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Diana Belbita enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Hannah Goldy threatens submissions; Diana Belbita has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Diana Belbita has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Diana Belbita

Red Corner

Hannah Goldy

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1485

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Diana BelbitaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22

vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 23

SUBvs Molly McCann · Feb 24

SUBvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 25

latest

Hannah GoldyL2 streak

oldest →

vs Miranda Granger · Aug 19

SUBvs Emily Whitmire · Sep 21

KOvs Molly McCann · Jul 22

vs Mizuki · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Diana BelbitaMetricHannah Goldy

6.45

Strikes / min

5.19

6.55

Strikes absorbed / min

4.67

51%

Strike defense

50%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

0.66

64%

Takedown defense

54%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Diana BelbitaHannah Goldy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Diana Belbita(8 fights)Hannah Goldy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.8|Blue -9.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -347.0|Blue +347.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Diana BelbitaTargetHannah Goldy

By target zone

45% acc · 58%

Head

41% acc · 61%

76% acc · 19%

Body

78% acc · 27%

90% acc · 23%

Leg

85% acc · 12%

By position

101

55% acc · 86%

Distance

41% acc · 63%

64% acc · 12%

Clinch

78% acc · 20%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

84% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Diana Belbita rounds

even

Hannah Goldy rounds

Round 1Diana Belbita edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:14Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Hannah Goldy edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:12Control

Round 3Hannah Goldy edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:53Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

117 / 211

Sig Strikes

92 / 182

54.7%

Sig Str %

51.7%

126 / 222

Total Strikes

107 / 198

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 6

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

5:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hannah Goldy	26 / 44	30 / 49	1 / 2
1	Diana Belbita	48 / 76	55 / 83	0 / 0
2	Hannah Goldy	29 / 56	31 / 58	0 / 2
2	Diana Belbita	29 / 57	30 / 58	0 / 0
3	Hannah Goldy	37 / 82	46 / 91	1 / 2
3	Diana Belbita	40 / 78	41 / 81	0 / 0

Diana Belbita

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights8

Hannah Goldy

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights5