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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Yushin Okami won · U-DEC R3
Elo1403
Elo1491
Yushin Okami

Dhiego LimavsYushin OkamiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Saturday, April 14, 2018Glendale, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Yushin Okami won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yushin Okami wins(71.0%)

Actual result: Yushin Okami wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yushin Okami at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Yushin Okami enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dhiego Lima
Red Corner
VS
Yushin Okami
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1403
Elo
1491
37
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dhiego LimaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 19
W
vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21
latest
Yushin OkamiL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alan Belcher · Dec 12
W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13
L
KOvs Jacare Souza · Sep 13
L
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17
L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dhiego LimaMetricYushin Okami
3.12
Strikes / min
2.06
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
2.25
58%
Strike defense
60%
1.26
TDs / 15 min
1.98
73%
Takedown defense
84%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1449 vs 1534Strikes18.4 vs 25.7Takedowns1.2 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.47Form-0.9 vs -0.9
Dhiego LimaYushin Okami

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Dhiego Lima(10 fights)Yushin Okami(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -88.8|Blue +88.8
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dhiego LimaTargetYushin Okami

By target zone

6
38% acc · 55%
Head
14
78% acc · 93%
3
50% acc · 27%
Body
0
2
100% acc · 18%
Leg
1
100% acc · 7%

By position

6
32% acc · 55%
Distance
2
67% acc · 13%
3
100% acc · 27%
Clinch
0
2
100% acc · 18%
Ground
13
81% acc · 87%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dhiego Lima rounds
0
even
3
Yushin Okami rounds
Round 1Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:10Control
Round 2Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:02
1Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:47Control
Round 3Yushin Okami edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:03
10Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
4:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
11 / 24
Sig Strikes
15 / 19
33.3%
Sig Str %
68.7%
17 / 31
Total Strikes
57 / 66
0 / 0
TDs
6 / 13
TD %
46.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
12:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yushin Okami4 / 610 / 131 / 40
1Dhiego Lima2 / 42 / 40 / 00
2Yushin Okami1 / 213 / 152 / 50
2Dhiego Lima9 / 1813 / 230 / 00
3Yushin Okami10 / 1134 / 383 / 40
3Dhiego Lima0 / 22 / 40 / 00

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11

Yushin Okami

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12