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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Dhiego Lima won · U-DEC R3
Elo1403
Elo1354

Dhiego LimavsJorge de OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · Saturday, November 8, 2014Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil

Official fight result

Dhiego Lima won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Dhiego Lima wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Dhiego Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dhiego Lima at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dhiego Lima has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Dhiego Lima has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Dhiego Lima has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dhiego Lima
Red Corner
VS
Jorge de Oliveira
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
1403
Elo
1354
37
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dhiego LimaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18
W
vs Court McGee · Apr 19
W
vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19
L
vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21
L
KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21
latest
Jorge de Oliveira
oldest →
L
SUBvs Christos Giagos · Mar 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dhiego LimaMetricJorge de Oliveira
3.12
Strikes / min
1.26
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
4.84
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.26
TDs / 15 min
0.00
73%
Takedown defense
22%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-3.58

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes5.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Dhiego LimaJorge de Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Dhiego Lima(10 fights)Jorge de Oliveira(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +48.2|Blue -48.2
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dhiego LimaTargetJorge de Oliveira

By target zone

64
50% acc · 91%
Head
10
21% acc · 43%
5
83% acc · 7%
Body
8
73% acc · 35%
1
50% acc · 1%
Leg
5
56% acc · 22%

By position

19
41% acc · 27%
Distance
16
27% acc · 70%
1
100% acc · 1%
Clinch
7
88% acc · 30%
50
56% acc · 71%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Dhiego Lima rounds
0
even
0
Jorge de Oliveira rounds
Round 1Dhiego Lima edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control2:49
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dhiego Lima edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns2
Control4:21
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Dhiego Lima edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns3
Control2:33
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
70 / 137
Sig Strikes
23 / 68
54%
Sig Str %
37.7%
116 / 195
Total Strikes
62 / 114
6 / 8
TDs
0 / 0
80.3%
TD %
—
4
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
9:43
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jorge de Oliveira9 / 2330 / 440 / 00
1Dhiego Lima18 / 2626 / 351 / 11
2Jorge de Oliveira7 / 1320 / 310 / 00
2Dhiego Lima31 / 5550 / 802 / 33
3Jorge de Oliveira7 / 3212 / 390 / 00
3Dhiego Lima21 / 5640 / 803 / 40

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11

Jorge de Oliveira

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2