← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Jesse Taylor won · SUB R2

Elo1403

Elo1491

Dhiego LimavsJesse TaylorUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · Friday, July 7, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jesse Taylor won

SUB · Round 2 · 0:43

Style matchupDhiego Lima: Well-roundedvsJesse Taylor: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dhiego Lima wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Jesse Taylor wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dhiego Lima at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dhiego Lima has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jesse Taylor has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dhiego Lima

Red Corner

Jesse Taylor

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1403

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dhiego LimaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chad Laprise · Dec 18

vs Court McGee · Apr 19

vs Luke Jumeau · Oct 19

vs Belal Muhammad · Feb 21

KOvs Matt Brown · Jun 21

latest

Jesse TaylorNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dhiego LimaMetricJesse Taylor

3.12

Strikes / min

1.94

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

0.55

58%

Strike defense

38%

1.26

TDs / 15 min

7.28

73%

Takedown defense

100%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

3.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.76Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dhiego LimaJesse Taylor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dhiego Lima(10 fights)Jesse Taylor(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -88.2|Blue +88.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.8|Blue +48.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dhiego LimaTargetJesse Taylor

By target zone

100% acc · 100%

Head

88% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

100% acc · 25%

Distance

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 75%

Ground

87% acc · 95%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dhiego Lima rounds

even

Jesse Taylor rounds

Round 1Jesse Taylor edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:53Control

Round 2Dhiego Lima edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 4

Sig Strikes

21 / 24

100%

Sig Str %

93%

6 / 6

Total Strikes

50 / 59

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

66%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

5:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jesse Taylor	19 / 22	48 / 57	2 / 3	1
1	Dhiego Lima	2 / 2	4 / 4	0 / 0	0
2	Jesse Taylor	2 / 2	2 / 2	0 / 0	1
2	Dhiego Lima	2 / 2	2 / 2	0 / 0	0

Dhiego Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

Jesse Taylor

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights1