Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cristiano Marcello enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reza Madadi has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristiano MarcelloL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jun 12L
vs Kazuki Tokudome · Mar 13 Reza MadadiL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13L
vs Norman Parke · Oct 15W
KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16L
vs Joaquim Silva · May 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristiano MarcelloMetricReza Madadi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.05evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cristiano MarcelloReza Madadi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristiano Marcello(4 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.6|Blue +7.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -48.0|Blue +48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cristiano MarcelloTargetReza Madadi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Cristiano Marcello rounds
Round 1Reza Madadi edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Reza Madadi edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
35Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
