Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan LaFlare has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan LaFlare (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Howard
oldest →W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 13L
vs Brian Ebersole · Sep 14L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15W
vs Cathal Pendred · Jul 15 Ryan LaFlare
oldest →W
vs Roan Carneiro · Feb 17L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Jul 17L
KOvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John HowardMetricRyan LaFlare
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.93Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John HowardRyan LaFlare
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Howard(10 fights)Ryan LaFlare(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John HowardTargetRyan LaFlare
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ryan LaFlare edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:23
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:41Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:25
Knockdowns1
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:54Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Ryan LaFlare edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
