Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Manel Kape has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Royval
oldest →L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24W
SUBvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Jul 26 Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon RoyvalMetricManel Kape
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.29evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon RoyvalManel Kape
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Royval(10 fights)Manel Kape(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -47.1|Blue +47.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon RoyvalTargetManel Kape
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Manel Kape edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
