Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Holly Holm has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
- Holly Holm has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Miesha Tate
oldest →W
KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricMiesha Tate
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21evenly matched on net striking-0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmMiesha Tate
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Miesha Tate(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetMiesha Tate
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:30Control
Round 3Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:40
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 5Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:11
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
