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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ludovit Klein won · S-DEC R3
Elo1419
Elo1525
Ludovit Klein editorial illustration

Devonte SmithvsLudovit KleinUFC Prediction Result

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ludovit Klein won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDevonte Smith: Pressure fightervsLudovit Klein: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ludovit Klein wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Ludovit Klein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ludovit Klein at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Ludovit Klein (53.5%).
  • Devonte Smith has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Devonte Smith
Red Corner
VS
Ludovit Klein
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1419
Elo
1525
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devonte SmithL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Nov 18
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 19
L
KOvs Khama Worthy · Aug 19
L
KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Oct 21
latest
Ludovit Klein
oldest →
W
KOvs AJ Cunningham · Mar 24
W
vs Thiago Moises · Jun 24
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 24
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · May 25
W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devonte SmithMetricLudovit Klein
4.55
Strikes / min
3.76
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.48
49%
Strike defense
53%
0.35
TDs / 15 min
1.37
85%
Takedown defense
76%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.64evenly matched on net striking+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1496 vs 1484Strikes4.5 vs 3.9Takedowns0.3 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form-0.8 vs -0.6
Devonte SmithLudovit Klein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Devonte Smith(5 fights)Ludovit Klein(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -106.3|Blue +106.3
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devonte SmithTargetLudovit Klein

By target zone

19
33% acc · 36%
Head
25
45% acc · 42%
25
83% acc · 47%
Body
25
89% acc · 42%
9
90% acc · 17%
Leg
10
91% acc · 17%

By position

31
42% acc · 58%
Distance
42
58% acc · 70%
22
88% acc · 42%
Clinch
18
78% acc · 30%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Devonte Smith rounds
1
even
2
Ludovit Klein rounds
Round 1Ludovit Klein edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:46Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:14
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:46Control
Round 3Ludovit Klein edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
53 / 98
Sig Strikes
60 / 95
54.3%
Sig Str %
62%
80 / 125
Total Strikes
80 / 117
0 / 3
TDs
0 / 2
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:14
Ctrl Time
6:39

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ludovit Klein19 / 2622 / 300 / 00
1Devonte Smith17 / 2922 / 340 / 00
2Ludovit Klein12 / 2624 / 380 / 00
2Devonte Smith16 / 2832 / 440 / 20
3Ludovit Klein29 / 4334 / 490 / 20
3Devonte Smith20 / 4126 / 470 / 10

Devonte Smith

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5

Ludovit Klein

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11