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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Khama Worthy won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1419

Elo1410

Devonte SmithvsKhama WorthyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Saturday, August 17, 2019Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Khama Worthy won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:15

Style matchupDevonte Smith: Pressure fightervsKhama Worthy: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Devonte Smith wins(73.7%)

Actual result: Khama Worthy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devonte Smith at -1000 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Khama Worthy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Devonte Smith is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Khama Worthy has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Khama Worthy is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Devonte Smith has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Devonte Smith has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Devonte Smith

Red Corner

Khama Worthy

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+650

(13%)

1419

Elo

1410

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

193.04 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devonte SmithL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Julian Erosa · Nov 18

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 19

KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Oct 21

vs Ludovit Klein · Mar 22

latest

Khama WorthyL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Luis Pena · Jun 20

KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Sep 20

KOvs Jamie Mullarkey · Mar 21

KOvs Jai Herbert · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devonte SmithMetricKhama Worthy

4.55

Strikes / min

4.18

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

4.45

49%

Strike defense

46%

0.35

TDs / 15 min

0.00

85%

Takedown defense

57%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devonte SmithKhama Worthy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devonte Smith(5 fights)Khama Worthy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.1|Blue -9.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devonte SmithTargetKhama Worthy

By target zone

23% acc · 20%

Head

30% acc · 43%

67% acc · 13%

Body

40% acc · 10%

91% acc · 67%

Leg

63% acc · 48%

By position

56% acc · 100%

Distance

39% acc · 86%

Clinch

Ground

60% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devonte Smith rounds

even

Khama Worthy rounds

Round 1Khama Worthy edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 27

Sig Strikes

21 / 51

55%

Sig Str %

41%

15 / 27

Total Strikes

21 / 51

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Khama Worthy	21 / 51	21 / 51	0 / 0	0
1	Devonte Smith	15 / 27	15 / 27	0 / 0	0

Devonte Smith

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights5

Khama Worthy

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5