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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jesus Pinedo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Devin PowellvsJesus PinedoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Saturday, November 17, 2018Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Official fight result

Jesus Pinedo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Devin Powell wins(59.2%)

Actual result: Jesus Pinedo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Powell at +200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jesus Pinedo has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jesus Pinedo (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Devin Powell

Red Corner

Jesus Pinedo

Blue Corner

+200

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-240

(71%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

188 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin Powell

oldest →

vs Drakkar Klose · Jan 17

vs Darrell Horcher · Jun 17

KOvs Alvaro Herrera · Jul 18

latest

Jesus Pinedo

oldest →

vs John Makdessi · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin PowellMetricJesus Pinedo

2.88

Strikes / min

3.23

3.67

Strikes absorbed / min

4.37

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.50

Takedown defense

100%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.79evenly matched on net striking-1.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin PowellJesus Pinedo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Powell(4 fights)Jesus Pinedo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.8|Blue +48.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin PowellTargetJesus Pinedo

By target zone

23% acc · 31%

Head

34% acc · 58%

54% acc · 26%

Body

64% acc · 27%

76% acc · 43%

Leg

64% acc · 15%

By position

44% acc · 86%

Distance

36% acc · 63%

50% acc · 12%

Clinch

88% acc · 12%

8% acc · 2%

Ground

54% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Powell rounds

even

Jesus Pinedo rounds

Round 1Jesus Pinedo edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 2Jesus Pinedo edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:07

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:09Control

Round 3Jesus Pinedo edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:08

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 139

Sig Strikes

60 / 142

42%

Sig Str %

42%

68 / 157

Total Strikes

68 / 153

0 / 1

TDs

5 / 5

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

4:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jesus Pinedo	22 / 46	26 / 53	3 / 3
1	Devin Powell	23 / 56	24 / 59	0 / 0
2	Jesus Pinedo	21 / 57	22 / 58	1 / 1
2	Devin Powell	16 / 45	22 / 53	0 / 0
3	Jesus Pinedo	17 / 39	20 / 42	1 / 1
3	Devin Powell	19 / 38	22 / 45	0 / 1

Devin Powell

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Jesus Pinedo

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2