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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Darrell Horcher won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1369

Devin PowellvsDarrell HorcherUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Sunday, June 25, 2017Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Darrell Horcher won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Devin Powell wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Darrell Horcher wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Powell at +360 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darrell Horcher enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Devin Powell has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Darrell Horcher has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Horcher (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Devin Powell

Red Corner

Darrell Horcher

Blue Corner

+360

(22%)

Vegas Odds

-450

(82%)

1491

Elo

1369

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin Powell

oldest →

vs Drakkar Klose · Jan 17

KOvs Alvaro Herrera · Jul 18

vs Jesus Pinedo · Nov 18

latest

Darrell HorcherL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 16

vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 17

SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin PowellMetricDarrell Horcher

2.88

Strikes / min

2.05

3.67

Strikes absorbed / min

4.21

51%

Strike defense

39%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.35

Takedown defense

47%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.79Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap-2.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin PowellDarrell Horcher

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Powell(4 fights)Darrell Horcher(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +122.2|Blue -122.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -274.0|Blue +274.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin PowellTargetDarrell Horcher

By target zone

36% acc · 35%

Head

44% acc · 84%

89% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 5%

71% acc · 47%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

44% acc · 63%

Distance

30% acc · 35%

80% acc · 9%

Clinch

80% acc · 22%

92% acc · 28%

Ground

70% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Powell rounds

even

Darrell Horcher rounds

Round 1Darrell Horcher edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:01

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:35Control

Round 2Darrell Horcher edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:08

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:29Control

Round 3Devin Powell edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:44

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 79

Sig Strikes

37 / 76

53.7%

Sig Str %

46.3%

97 / 137

Total Strikes

56 / 98

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:53

Ctrl Time

7:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Darrell Horcher	10 / 24	19 / 36	0 / 0	1
1	Devin Powell	12 / 28	32 / 51	0 / 1	0
2	Darrell Horcher	20 / 35	27 / 42	0 / 0	1
2	Devin Powell	11 / 19	38 / 47	0 / 1	0
3	Darrell Horcher	7 / 17	10 / 20	0 / 0	0
3	Devin Powell	20 / 32	27 / 39	0 / 1	2

Devin Powell

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Darrell Horcher

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4