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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Devin Powell won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Devin Powell
Elo1367
Alvaro Herrera

Devin PowellvsAlvaro HerreraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Saturday, July 28, 2018Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Devin Powell won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:52

Model Prediction: Devin Powell wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Devin Powell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Powell at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Devin Powell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Devin Powell
Red Corner
VS
Alvaro Herrera
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
1491
Elo
1367
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin PowellL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Drakkar Klose · Jan 17
L
vs Darrell Horcher · Jun 17
L
vs Jesus Pinedo · Nov 18
latest
Alvaro HerreraL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Vernon Ramos · Nov 15
L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Jordan Rinaldi · Aug 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin PowellMetricAlvaro Herrera
2.88
Strikes / min
—
3.67
Strikes absorbed / min
—
51%
Strike defense
—
0.00
TDs / 15 min
—
0%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1463 vs 1480Strikes32.5 vs 6.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.33Form-1.0 vs -0.8
Devin PowellAlvaro Herrera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Devin Powell(4 fights)Alvaro Herrera(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +124.6|Blue -124.6
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Devin Powell

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Alvaro Herrera

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1