Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Devin Clark won · U-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1408

Devin ClarkvsMike RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · Saturday, April 7, 2018Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Devin Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDevin Clark: WrestlervsMike Rodriguez: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Devin Clark wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Devin Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Clark at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mike Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Devin Clark has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
Mike Rodriguez has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Devin Clark

Red Corner

Mike Rodriguez

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1496

Elo

1408

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

208.28 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Mike RodriguezL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Da Un Jung · Dec 19

KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Aug 20

SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20

SUBvs Danilo Marques · Feb 21

vs Tafon Nchukwi · Sep 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin ClarkMetricMike Rodriguez

3.03

Strikes / min

4.35

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

44%

Strike defense

41%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.00

58%

Takedown defense

37%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin ClarkMike Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Clark(10 fights)Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +88.1|Blue -88.1

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin ClarkTargetMike Rodriguez

By target zone

79% acc · 60%

Head

44% acc · 43%

75% acc · 24%

Body

91% acc · 53%

80% acc · 16%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

71% acc · 34%

Distance

31% acc · 28%

79% acc · 38%

Clinch

93% acc · 68%

88% acc · 28%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Clark rounds

even

Mike Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control3:48

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control3:15

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns4

Control4:23

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 64

Sig Strikes

40 / 66

76.7%

Sig Str %

63%

167 / 200

Total Strikes

66 / 95

7 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

59.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

11:26

Ctrl Time

0:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Rodriguez	14 / 24	26 / 37	0 / 0
1	Devin Clark	12 / 18	46 / 61	2 / 3
2	Mike Rodriguez	16 / 29	24 / 37	0 / 0
2	Devin Clark	25 / 30	59 / 65	1 / 3
3	Mike Rodriguez	10 / 13	16 / 21	0 / 0
3	Devin Clark	13 / 16	62 / 74	4 / 5

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Mike Rodriguez

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights7