Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Devin Clark won · U-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1389

Devin ClarkvsDequan TownsendUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · Saturday, February 15, 2020Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Devin Clark won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Devin Clark wins(77.0%)

Actual result: Devin Clark wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Devin Clark at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dequan Townsend has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Devin Clark

Red Corner

Dequan Townsend

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1496

Elo

1389

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Dequan TownsendL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jun 19

vs Bevon Lewis · Jan 20

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin ClarkMetricDequan Townsend

3.03

Strikes / min

1.23

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.92

44%

Strike defense

38%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.00

58%

Takedown defense

46%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.21Δ 2.48 — meaningful gap-2.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin ClarkDequan Townsend

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Clark(10 fights)Dequan Townsend(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +106.5|Blue -106.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin ClarkTargetDequan Townsend

By target zone

59% acc · 49%

Head

12% acc · 67%

93% acc · 33%

Body

67% acc · 33%

88% acc · 18%

Leg

By position

45% acc · 23%

Distance

6% acc · 33%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 67%

90% acc · 69%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Clark rounds

even

Dequan Townsend rounds

Round 1Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control3:23

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control3:32

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Devin Clark edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:11

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 54

Sig Strikes

6 / 36

69.3%

Sig Str %

15%

122 / 150

Total Strikes

37 / 69

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

83.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dequan Townsend	4 / 15	16 / 28	0 / 0
1	Devin Clark	10 / 14	33 / 38	1 / 2
2	Dequan Townsend	1 / 9	4 / 12	0 / 0
2	Devin Clark	21 / 26	46 / 52	1 / 1
3	Dequan Townsend	1 / 12	17 / 29	0 / 0
3	Devin Clark	8 / 14	43 / 60	1 / 1

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Dequan Townsend

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4