Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Azamat Murzakanov won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1496

Elo1536

Devin ClarkvsAzamat MurzakanovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · Saturday, August 13, 2022San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Azamat Murzakanov won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:18

Style matchupDevin Clark: WrestlervsAzamat Murzakanov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Azamat Murzakanov wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Azamat Murzakanov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Azamat Murzakanov at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Azamat Murzakanov has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Azamat Murzakanov has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Azamat Murzakanov (53.5%).
Devin Clark has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Devin Clark

Red Corner

Azamat Murzakanov

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1496

Elo

1536

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ion Cutelaba · Sep 21

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Azamat Murzakanov

oldest →

vs Dustin Jacoby · Apr 23

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 24

KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Jun 25

KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 25

KOvs Paulo Costa · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin ClarkMetricAzamat Murzakanov

3.03

Strikes / min

4.40

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

44%

Strike defense

56%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.68

58%

Takedown defense

88%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.21Δ 1.41 — meaningful gap+1.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin ClarkAzamat Murzakanov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Clark(10 fights)Azamat Murzakanov(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.8|Blue +39.8

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin ClarkTargetAzamat Murzakanov

By target zone

14% acc · 29%

Head

63% acc · 52%

43% acc · 21%

Body

91% acc · 39%

44% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

26% acc · 93%

Distance

57% acc · 30%

50% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

84% acc · 58%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Clark rounds

even

Azamat Murzakanov rounds

Round 1Azamat Murzakanov edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 2Azamat Murzakanov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:26

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:24Control

Round 3Azamat Murzakanov edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 52

Sig Strikes

79 / 106

27.3%

Sig Str %

67.7%

39 / 83

Total Strikes

95 / 127

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

3:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Azamat Murzakanov	7 / 15	12 / 23	0 / 1
1	Devin Clark	6 / 23	17 / 35	0 / 0
2	Azamat Murzakanov	41 / 52	52 / 64	0 / 0
2	Devin Clark	5 / 19	19 / 38	0 / 0
3	Azamat Murzakanov	31 / 39	31 / 40	0 / 0
3	Devin Clark	3 / 10	3 / 10	0 / 0

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Azamat Murzakanov

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6