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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Aleksandar Rakic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1496

Elo1471

Devin ClarkvsAleksandar RakicUFC Prediction Result

UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 8, 2018Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Aleksandar Rakic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:05

Style matchupDevin Clark: WrestlervsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Aleksandar Rakic wins(67.1%)

Actual result: Aleksandar Rakic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aleksandar Rakic at -570 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Aleksandar Rakic has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Devin Clark

Red Corner

Aleksandar Rakic

Blue Corner

+435

(19%)

Vegas Odds

-570

(85%)

1496

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Aleksandar RakicL4 streak

oldest →

vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24

vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Devin ClarkMetricAleksandar Rakic

3.03

Strikes / min

4.13

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

44%

Strike defense

51%

2.17

TDs / 15 min

0.64

58%

Takedown defense

85%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.21Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Devin ClarkAleksandar Rakic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Devin Clark(10 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.4|Blue -24.4

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +106.0|Blue -106.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Devin ClarkTargetAleksandar Rakic

By target zone

58% acc · 79%

Head

50% acc · 39%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 32%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

82% acc · 29%

By position

23% acc · 16%

Distance

58% acc · 35%

90% acc · 47%

Clinch

100% acc · 32%

88% acc · 37%

Ground

63% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Devin Clark rounds

even

Aleksandar Rakic rounds

Round 1Aleksandar Rakic edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:49

Knockdowns1

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:06Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 31

Sig Strikes

31 / 45

61%

Sig Str %

68%

24 / 36

Total Strikes

33 / 47

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:49

Ctrl Time

1:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Aleksandar Rakic	31 / 45	33 / 47	0 / 1	0
1	Devin Clark	19 / 31	24 / 36	0 / 2	0

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Aleksandar Rakic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11