← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Derrick Lewis won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1481

Elo1361

Derrick LewisvsTravis BrowneUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Sunday, February 19, 2017Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Derrick Lewis won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:12

Model Prediction: Derrick Lewis wins(67.4%)

Actual result: Derrick Lewis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Derrick Lewis at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Travis Browne enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Travis Browne has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Derrick Lewis

Red Corner

Travis Browne

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1481

Elo

1361

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'6"

200.66 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Derrick LewisL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23

KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24

KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25

KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26

KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26

latest

Travis BrowneL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andrei Arlovski · May 15

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16

KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16

vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Derrick LewisMetricTravis Browne

2.46

Strikes / min

2.93

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

39%

Strike defense

42%

0.55

TDs / 15 min

1.21

52%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.11Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap-1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Derrick LewisTravis Browne

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Travis Browne(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +120.5|Blue -120.5

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -90.0|Blue +90.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Derrick LewisTargetTravis Browne

By target zone

55% acc · 95%

Head

0% acc

Body

52% acc · 57%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

90% acc · 43%

By position

42% acc · 54%

Distance

47% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

0% acc

85% acc · 44%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Derrick Lewis rounds

even

Travis Browne rounds

Round 1Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:11

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Derrick Lewis edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control1:29

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 71

Sig Strikes

21 / 47

44%

Sig Str %

38%

39 / 71

Total Strikes

23 / 49

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:40

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Travis Browne	18 / 35	20 / 37	0 / 0
1	Derrick Lewis	4 / 18	4 / 18	0 / 0
2	Travis Browne	3 / 12	3 / 12	0 / 1
2	Derrick Lewis	35 / 53	35 / 53	0 / 0

Derrick Lewis

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights31

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights16