← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Siver won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1392

Dennis SivervsMatt WimanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Siver won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDennis Siver: Elusive strikervsMatt Wiman: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Matt Wiman wins(60.4%)

Actual result: Dennis Siver wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Matt Wiman at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dennis Siver has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Siver

Red Corner

Matt Wiman

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1491

Elo

1392

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Siver

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13

vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15

vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15

vs BJ Penn · Jun 17

latest

Matt WimanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs TJ Grant · Jan 13

vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14

KOvs Luis Pena · Jun 19

vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19

KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis SiverMetricMatt Wiman

3.87

Strikes / min

3.17

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

3.57

65%

Strike defense

51%

0.87

TDs / 15 min

2.13

65%

Takedown defense

56%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.20Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis SiverMatt Wiman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Siver(10 fights)Matt Wiman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +98.4|Blue -98.4

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis SiverTargetMatt Wiman

By target zone

16% acc · 45%

Head

31% acc · 69%

50% acc · 16%

Body

50% acc · 4%

75% acc · 39%

Leg

54% acc · 27%

By position

29% acc · 90%

Distance

29% acc · 50%

21% acc · 10%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

0% acc

Ground

46% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Siver rounds

even

Matt Wiman rounds

Round 1Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:20

8Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 2Matt Wiman edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:43Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control1:09

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:10Control

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 111

Sig Strikes

26 / 73

33.7%

Sig Str %

35.3%

128 / 213

Total Strikes

34 / 86

1 / 1

TDs

5 / 16

100%

TD %

31%

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

7:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Matt Wiman	8 / 28	9 / 29	2 / 5	0
1	Dennis Siver	17 / 57	38 / 79	1 / 1	0
2	Matt Wiman	12 / 25	19 / 37	1 / 4	0
2	Dennis Siver	3 / 6	43 / 49	0 / 0	0
3	Matt Wiman	6 / 20	6 / 20	2 / 7	2
3	Dennis Siver	11 / 48	47 / 85	0 / 0	0

Dennis Siver

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13

Matt Wiman

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10