Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Welterweight
3 Rounds
Brian Ebersole won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Dennis Hallman
Elo1490
Brian Ebersole

Dennis HallmanvsBrian EbersoleUFC Prediction Result

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · Saturday, August 6, 2011Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Brian Ebersole won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:28

Model Prediction: Brian Ebersole wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Brian Ebersole wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brian Ebersole at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dennis Hallman enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Brian Ebersole has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Brian Ebersole has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Hallman
Red Corner
VS
Brian Ebersole
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1490
Elo
1490
50
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis HallmanW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ben Saunders · Aug 10
W
KOvs Karo Parisyan · Nov 10
W
SUBvs John Makdessi · Dec 11
latest
Brian Ebersole
oldest →
W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12
L
vs James Head · Jul 12
L
vs Rick Story · Nov 13
W
vs John Howard · Sep 14
L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis HallmanMetricBrian Ebersole
1.12
Strikes / min
2.32
1.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
43%
Strike defense
56%
1.79
TDs / 15 min
1.70
25%
Takedown defense
61%
2.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.84Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1520Strikes10.6 vs 32.0Takedowns1.1 vs 4.0Sub Atts1.43 vs 1.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Dennis HallmanBrian Ebersole

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Dennis Hallman(4 fights)Brian Ebersole(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis HallmanTargetBrian Ebersole

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
18
78% acc · 95%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 5%
0
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
19
79% acc · 100%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dennis Hallman rounds
0
even
1
Brian Ebersole rounds
Round 1Brian Ebersole edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control2:16
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 1
Sig Strikes
19 / 24
0%
Sig Str %
79%
2 / 4
Total Strikes
49 / 58
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
2:16
Ctrl Time
2:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Brian Ebersole19 / 2449 / 580 / 00
1Dennis Hallman0 / 12 / 41 / 11

Dennis Hallman

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4

Brian Ebersole

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8