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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marcio Barbosa won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1468
Dennis Buzukja editorial illustration
Elo1523

Dennis BuzukjavsMarcio BarbosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Saturday, April 18, 2026Winnipeg, Canada

Official fight result

Marcio Barbosa won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:20

Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsMarcio Barbosa: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marcio Barbosa wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Marcio Barbosa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marcio Barbosa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dennis Buzukja has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Marcio Barbosa has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Buzukja
Red Corner
VS
Marcio Barbosa
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1468
Elo
1523
28
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Buzukja
oldest →
L
vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23
L
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Nov 23
W
KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24
L
vs Francis Marshall · Aug 24
latest
Marcio BarbosaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BuzukjaMetricMarcio Barbosa
4.21
Strikes / min
7.01
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
6.65
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501473149515181540← oldermost recent →
Dennis Buzukja(5 fights)Marcio Barbosa(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -55.0|Blue +55.0
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Dennis Buzukja

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4

Marcio Barbosa

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights0