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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jamall Emmers won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1468
Dennis Buzukja editorial illustration
Elo1517

Dennis BuzukjavsJamall EmmersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Saturday, November 11, 2023New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Jamall Emmers won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:49

Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsJamall Emmers: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamall Emmers wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Jamall Emmers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Dennis Buzukja (52.9%).
  • Jamall Emmers has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Buzukja
Red Corner
VS
Jamall Emmers
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1468
Elo
1517
28
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis BuzukjaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23
W
KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24
L
vs Francis Marshall · Aug 24
L
KOvs Marcio Barbosa · Apr 26
latest
Jamall EmmersW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Khusein Askhabov · Feb 23
L
vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23
L
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25
W
vs Hyder Amil · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BuzukjaMetricJamall Emmers
4.21
Strikes / min
5.10
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
48%
Strike defense
57%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
2.59
75%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1487Strikes4.2 vs 5.3Takedowns0.6 vs 1.8Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.20Form-1.0 vs -0.2
Dennis BuzukjaJamall Emmers

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Dennis Buzukja(5 fights)Jamall Emmers(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BuzukjaTargetJamall Emmers

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
8
67% acc · 57%
1
100% acc · 33%
Body
2
50% acc · 14%
2
100% acc · 67%
Leg
4
100% acc · 29%

By position

3
43% acc · 100%
Distance
10
71% acc · 71%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
67% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dennis Buzukja rounds
0
even
1
Jamall Emmers rounds
Round 1Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 7
Sig Strikes
14 / 20
42%
Sig Str %
70%
3 / 7
Total Strikes
14 / 20
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:03

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jamall Emmers14 / 2014 / 200 / 00
1Dennis Buzukja3 / 73 / 70 / 00

Dennis Buzukja

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9