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Featherweight
3 Rounds
2 days away
Elo1468
Dennis Buzukja editorial illustration
Elo1481
Bogdan Grad editorial illustration

Dennis BuzukjavsBogdan GradUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in
Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsBogdan Grad: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dennis Buzukja is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bogdan Grad has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Bogdan Grad is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dennis Buzukja has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Buzukja
Red Corner
VS
Bogdan Grad
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1468
Elo
1481
28
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis BuzukjaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23
L
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Nov 23
W
KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24
L
vs Francis Marshall · Aug 24
L
KOvs Marcio Barbosa · Apr 26
latest
Bogdan GradL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Lucas Alexander · Feb 25
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 25
L
KOvs Luke Riley · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BuzukjaMetricBogdan Grad
4.21
Strikes / min
4.06
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
5.06
48%
Strike defense
49%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
4.22
75%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking-1.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Dennis Buzukja(5 fights)Bogdan Grad(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.2|Blue +12.2
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO100%

Historical win share: Bogdan Grad earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission0%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Dennis Buzukja

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4

Bogdan Grad

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3