Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Bermudez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1370

Dennis BermudezvsTe EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, January 19, 2019Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Bermudez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(69.8%)

Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Bermudez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Dennis Bermudez has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Dennis Bermudez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Te Edwards has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez

Red Corner

Te Edwards

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1491

Elo

1370

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis BermudezL4 streak

oldest →

vs Rony Jason · Aug 16

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17

vs Andre Fili · Jan 18

vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18

latest

Te Edwards

oldest →

KOvs Don Madge · Oct 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricTe Edwards

4.42

Strikes / min

1.50

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

4.15

59%

Strike defense

44%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

0.72

82%

Takedown defense

44%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35Δ 4.00 — meaningful gap-2.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis BermudezTe Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Te Edwards(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +121.3|Blue -121.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.7|Blue -2.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetTe Edwards

By target zone

44% acc · 67%

Head

35% acc · 70%

92% acc · 19%

Body

60% acc · 13%

69% acc · 14%

Leg

80% acc · 17%

By position

42% acc · 43%

Distance

37% acc · 65%

30% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

69% acc · 52%

Ground

36% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Bermudez rounds

even

Te Edwards rounds

Round 1Te Edwards edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:15

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:50Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control0:03

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:32Control

Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns2

Control0:23

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 122

Sig Strikes

23 / 56

55.3%

Sig Str %

34.7%

83 / 147

Total Strikes

24 / 57

5 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

63.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:41

Ctrl Time

8:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Te Edwards	16 / 31	16 / 31	0 / 0	0
1	Dennis Bermudez	19 / 55	22 / 59	1 / 4	0
2	Te Edwards	2 / 10	2 / 10	0 / 0	0
2	Dennis Bermudez	16 / 23	24 / 32	2 / 2	0
3	Te Edwards	5 / 15	6 / 16	0 / 0	0
3	Dennis Bermudez	28 / 44	37 / 56	2 / 3	2

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Te Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2