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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Bermudez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1360

Dennis BermudezvsRony JasonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Saturday, August 6, 2016Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Bermudez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(71.4%)

Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Bermudez has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rony Jason has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez

Red Corner

Rony Jason

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1491

Elo

1360

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Bermudez

oldest →

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17

vs Andre Fili · Jan 18

vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18

vs Te Edwards · Jan 19

latest

Rony JasonL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Mike Wilkinson · Jun 13

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Nov 13

KOvs Steven Siler · Mar 14

vs Robert Peralta · May 14

vs Jeremy Kennedy · Mar 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricRony Jason

4.42

Strikes / min

2.04

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

3.14

59%

Strike defense

53%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

0.59

82%

Takedown defense

36%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap-1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis BermudezRony Jason

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Rony Jason(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.8|Blue -131.8

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -631.0|Blue +631.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetRony Jason

By target zone

43% acc · 60%

Head

19% acc · 67%

36% acc · 10%

Body

38% acc · 33%

100% acc · 29%

Leg

0% acc

By position

36% acc · 44%

Distance

18% acc · 78%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 22%

74% acc · 52%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Bermudez rounds

even

Rony Jason rounds

Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control3:19

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns4

Control2:24

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control1:23

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 95

Sig Strikes

9 / 41

47.3%

Sig Str %

20%

77 / 127

Total Strikes

16 / 48

5 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

55.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:06

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rony Jason	1 / 7	4 / 10	0 / 0
1	Dennis Bermudez	24 / 41	32 / 50	1 / 1
2	Rony Jason	4 / 17	4 / 17	0 / 0
2	Dennis Bermudez	7 / 19	22 / 35	4 / 6
3	Rony Jason	4 / 17	8 / 21	0 / 0
3	Dennis Bermudez	17 / 35	23 / 42	0 / 3

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Rony Jason

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8