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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Bermudez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1517

Dennis BermudezvsMax HollowayUFC Prediction Result

UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · Saturday, May 25, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Bermudez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDennis Bermudez: WrestlervsMax Holloway: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -295 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez

Red Corner

Max Holloway

Blue Corner

-295

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+265

(27%)

1491

Elo

1517

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'11"

167.64 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Bermudez

oldest →

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17

vs Andre Fili · Jan 18

vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18

vs Te Edwards · Jan 19

latest

Max Holloway

oldest →

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24

KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24

vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25

vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricMax Holloway

4.42

Strikes / min

6.91

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

4.61

59%

Strike defense

58%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

0.23

82%

Takedown defense

81%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35evenly matched on net striking+2.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis BermudezMax Holloway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.1|Blue +26.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetMax Holloway

By target zone

24% acc · 64%

Head

37% acc · 85%

67% acc · 14%

Body

50% acc · 12%

100% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

28% acc · 70%

Distance

38% acc · 93%

60% acc · 8%

Clinch

63% acc · 7%

53% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Bermudez rounds

even

Max Holloway rounds

Round 1Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:31

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control0:44

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns3

Control2:14

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 225

Sig Strikes

75 / 193

31.3%

Sig Str %

38.3%

78 / 231

Total Strikes

79 / 197

4 / 9

TDs

0 / 1

44.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:29

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Max Holloway	23 / 64	24 / 65	0 / 0
1	Dennis Bermudez	19 / 58	19 / 58	0 / 3
2	Max Holloway	28 / 73	30 / 75	0 / 0
2	Dennis Bermudez	18 / 66	20 / 68	1 / 3
3	Max Holloway	24 / 56	25 / 57	0 / 1
3	Dennis Bermudez	36 / 101	39 / 105	3 / 3

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Max Holloway

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights33