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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Bermudez won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1491

Elo1355

Dennis BermudezvsJimy HettesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · Saturday, March 15, 2014Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Bermudez won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:57

Style matchupDennis Bermudez: WrestlervsJimy Hettes: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -260 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Bermudez has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jimy Hettes (53.5%).
Jimy Hettes has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez

Red Corner

Jimy Hettes

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1491

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'9"

167.64 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Bermudez

oldest →

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17

vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17

vs Andre Fili · Jan 18

vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18

vs Te Edwards · Jan 19

latest

Jimy Hettes

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Aug 11

vs Nam Phan · Dec 11

vs Marcus Brimage · Sep 12

SUBvs Rob Whiteford · Oct 13

KOvs Diego Brandao · Apr 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricJimy Hettes

4.42

Strikes / min

3.47

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

3.50

59%

Strike defense

57%

3.89

TDs / 15 min

5.20

82%

Takedown defense

61%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.35Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dennis BermudezJimy Hettes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Jimy Hettes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.8|Blue -136.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -11.0|Blue +11.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetJimy Hettes

By target zone

32% acc · 56%

Head

40% acc · 47%

58% acc · 13%

Body

76% acc · 38%

94% acc · 31%

Leg

71% acc · 15%

By position

34% acc · 27%

Distance

37% acc · 29%

53% acc · 45%

Clinch

64% acc · 68%

43% acc · 27%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Bermudez rounds

even

Jimy Hettes rounds

Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns4

Control2:51

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 2Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control2:57

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:16Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:00

Knockdowns2

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

55 / 126

Sig Strikes

34 / 64

43%

Sig Str %

49.3%

94 / 180

Total Strikes

49 / 88

6 / 15

TDs

0 / 4

38.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:48

Ctrl Time

1:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimy Hettes	22 / 35	24 / 37	0 / 3	0
1	Dennis Bermudez	23 / 51	35 / 68	4 / 9	1
2	Jimy Hettes	7 / 19	16 / 37	0 / 0	0
2	Dennis Bermudez	18 / 43	29 / 59	2 / 6	0
3	Jimy Hettes	5 / 10	9 / 14	0 / 1	0
3	Dennis Bermudez	14 / 32	30 / 53	0 / 0	0

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Jimy Hettes

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6