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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fili won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1479
Andre Fili

Dennis BermudezvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · Saturday, January 27, 2018Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDennis Bermudez: WrestlervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(71.7%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dennis Bermudez at -150 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Fili has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Bermudez
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fili
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1491
Elo
1479
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'11"
167.64 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis Bermudez
oldest →
W
vs Rony Jason · Aug 16
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17
L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17
L
vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18
W
vs Te Edwards · Jan 19
latest
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BermudezMetricAndre Fili
4.42
Strikes / min
3.88
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
59%
Strike defense
50%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
2.32
82%
Takedown defense
71%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.35Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1553 vs 1517Strikes47.3 vs 38.0Takedowns2.8 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.86 vs 0.11Form-0.4 vs 0.2
Dennis BermudezAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +12.1|Blue -12.1
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BermudezTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

56
41% acc · 54%
Head
70
33% acc · 88%
12
57% acc · 12%
Body
5
56% acc · 6%
35
95% acc · 34%
Leg
5
83% acc · 6%

By position

91
52% acc · 88%
Distance
76
35% acc · 95%
12
60% acc · 12%
Clinch
4
44% acc · 5%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Dennis Bermudez rounds
1
even
0
Andre Fili rounds
Round 1Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:17
28Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control1:23
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 3Dennis Bermudez edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns1
Control0:32
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
103 / 196
Sig Strikes
80 / 229
53%
Sig Str %
35.7%
133 / 227
Total Strikes
93 / 242
1 / 11
TDs
4 / 12
33.3%
TD %
46.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:12
Ctrl Time
0:50

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Fili28 / 7035 / 772 / 20
1Dennis Bermudez35 / 6643 / 740 / 40
2Andre Fili23 / 5927 / 632 / 50
2Dennis Bermudez27 / 4841 / 630 / 60
3Andre Fili29 / 10031 / 1020 / 50
3Dennis Bermudez41 / 8249 / 901 / 10

Dennis Bermudez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26