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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Loma Lookboonmee won · U-DEC R3
Elo1539
Elo1489

Denise GomesvsLoma LookboonmeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Loma Lookboonmee won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDenise Gomes: Well-roundedvsLoma Lookboonmee: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Denise Gomes wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Loma Lookboonmee wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Denise Gomes at +170 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Denise Gomes
Red Corner
VS
Loma Lookboonmee
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1539
Elo
1489
26
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'1"
160.02 cm
Reach
154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Denise GomesW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Angela Hill · Nov 23
W
vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24
W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24
W
KOvs Elise Reed · May 25
W
vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25
latest
Loma LookboonmeeL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Elise Reed · Feb 23
W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 24
W
vs Istela Nunes · Apr 25
L
vs Alexia Thainara · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Denise GomesMetricLoma Lookboonmee
4.43
Strikes / min
3.67
3.16
Strikes absorbed / min
2.52
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.45
TDs / 15 min
1.81
66%
Takedown defense
68%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.27evenly matched on net striking+1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1511Strikes4.5 vs 4.1Takedowns0.9 vs 1.9Sub Atts0.90 vs 0.10Form0.0 vs -0.1
Denise GomesLoma Lookboonmee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701490151015301550← oldermost recent →
Denise Gomes(8 fights)Loma Lookboonmee(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Grappler Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Denise GomesTargetLoma Lookboonmee

By target zone

13
52% acc · 68%
Head
31
63% acc · 65%
2
67% acc · 11%
Body
11
92% acc · 23%
4
67% acc · 21%
Leg
6
100% acc · 13%

By position

13
52% acc · 68%
Distance
14
61% acc · 29%
6
67% acc · 32%
Clinch
8
89% acc · 17%
0
Ground
26
74% acc · 54%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Denise Gomes rounds
0
even
3
Loma Lookboonmee rounds
Round 1Loma Lookboonmee edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control1:32
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 2Loma Lookboonmee edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:18
16Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 3Loma Lookboonmee edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control2:41
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
19 / 34
Sig Strikes
48 / 67
58.3%
Sig Str %
70.3%
45 / 66
Total Strikes
87 / 115
0 / 6
TDs
4 / 5
0%
TD %
83%
3
Sub Att
0
2
Rev
1
5:31
Ctrl Time
7:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Loma Lookboonmee22 / 3022 / 300 / 00
1Denise Gomes5 / 910 / 140 / 31
2Loma Lookboonmee16 / 2026 / 342 / 30
2Denise Gomes7 / 1613 / 220 / 30
3Loma Lookboonmee10 / 1739 / 512 / 20
3Denise Gomes7 / 922 / 300 / 02

Denise Gomes

StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights8

Loma Lookboonmee

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights11