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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Demetrious Johnson won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1491

Elo1397

Demetrious JohnsonvsJoseph BenavidezUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, December 14, 2013Sacramento, California, USA

Official fight result

Demetrious Johnson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:08

Style matchupDemetrious Johnson: WrestlervsJoseph Benavidez: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Demetrious Johnson wins(80.2%)

Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Demetrious Johnson at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Demetrious Johnson

Red Corner

Joseph Benavidez

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1491

Elo

1397

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Demetrious Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16

vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16

SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17

SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17

vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18

latest

Joseph BenavidezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Demetrious JohnsonMetricJoseph Benavidez

3.43

Strikes / min

3.52

1.66

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

67%

Strike defense

61%

3.35

TDs / 15 min

1.41

65%

Takedown defense

62%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.77evenly matched on net striking+0.85

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Demetrious JohnsonJoseph Benavidez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +94.2|Blue -94.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +39.0|Blue -39.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Demetrious JohnsonTargetJoseph Benavidez

By target zone

45% acc · 71%

Head

5% acc · 25%

Body

0% acc

67% acc · 29%

Leg

100% acc · 75%

By position

30% acc · 43%

Distance

15% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 57%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Demetrious Johnson rounds

even

Joseph Benavidez rounds

Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 14

Sig Strikes

4 / 27

50%

Sig Str %

14%

9 / 16

Total Strikes

4 / 27

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joseph Benavidez	4 / 27	4 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Demetrious Johnson	7 / 14	9 / 16	0 / 1	0

Demetrious Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21