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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Demetrious Johnson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1490

Demetrious JohnsonvsIan McCallUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · Friday, June 8, 2012Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Demetrious Johnson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDemetrious Johnson: WrestlervsIan McCall: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ian McCall wins(54.3%)

Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ian McCall at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ian McCall has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Demetrious Johnson

Red Corner

Ian McCall

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1491

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Demetrious Johnson

oldest →

KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16

vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16

SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17

SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17

vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18

latest

Ian McCall

oldest →

vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 13

vs Iliarde Santos · Aug 13

vs Brad Pickett · Jul 14

vs John Lineker · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Demetrious JohnsonMetricIan McCall

3.43

Strikes / min

3.59

1.66

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

67%

Strike defense

67%

3.35

TDs / 15 min

2.08

65%

Takedown defense

88%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.77Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Demetrious JohnsonIan McCall

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Ian McCall(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.2|Blue +49.2

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Demetrious JohnsonTargetIan McCall

By target zone

33% acc · 26%

Head

21% acc · 28%

79% acc · 46%

Body

75% acc · 47%

84% acc · 29%

Leg

74% acc · 25%

By position

45% acc · 50%

Distance

30% acc · 46%

83% acc · 50%

Clinch

70% acc · 54%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Demetrious Johnson rounds

even

Ian McCall rounds

Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:26Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:56

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns1

Control1:01

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:05Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 153

Sig Strikes

57 / 132

58%

Sig Str %

42.7%

105 / 169

Total Strikes

94 / 172

2 / 8

TDs

1 / 11

26.5%

TD %

6.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:03

Ctrl Time

3:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ian McCall	13 / 41	27 / 55	0 / 1
1	Demetrious Johnson	22 / 41	28 / 48	1 / 5
2	Ian McCall	20 / 40	30 / 50	1 / 5
2	Demetrious Johnson	32 / 55	37 / 60	0 / 0
3	Ian McCall	24 / 51	37 / 67	0 / 5
3	Demetrious Johnson	36 / 57	40 / 61	1 / 3

Demetrious Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights17

Ian McCall

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5